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Identifying the driving forces influencing the development of the rural-urban pattern in the suburbs of Iranian cities; case study: Imamzadeh Suburbs of the metropolis of Urmia
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Majid Karimnezhad  , Ahmad Khalili *  , Mohammad Jadiri Abasi |
| Department of Urban Planning, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran. , akhalili@iust.ac.ir |
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Abstract: (1783 Views) |
Objective: Strengthening capable villages and small towns is one of the most important strategies for regional balance, as well as for regulating and controlling rural-urban population movements and migrations. Among the proposed approaches, the rural-urban development model based on the principles of the New Urbanism Charter has proven to be one of the most successful, having been implemented in various countries with promising results. Accordingly, the main objective of this research is to identify the critical driving forces affecting the development of the physical-architectural pattern of rural-urban settlements in the study area.
Method: Adopting an exploratory approach and relying on common futures studies methods, this study evaluates and analyzes the driving forces influencing the rural-urban development pattern. The research method consists of two stages: first, the identification and evaluation of research variables through the Delphi method; and second, the detection of critical drivers through structural analysis.
Results: The findings indicate that out of the 40 variables identified in the first stage, 15 variables were determined as the critical drivers influencing the rural-urban development pattern in the Imam Zadeh suburb of Urmia. Among these, the variable of land-use mix had the highest impact (total influence score: 1012), while the variable of a continuous internal transport network had the lowest impact (score: 568).
Conclusions: Considering the trends of rural-to-urban migration, it can be concluded that large and development-prone villages possess significant potential to absorb overflow and migrant populations from cities. By introducing appropriate development models that account for environmental factors and sustainable development—alongside modern conditions and technological advancements—a desirable living environment can be provided for rural residents. Furthermore, under such favorable conditions, reverse migration from cities back to villages could also be anticipated.
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| Keywords: Critical Drivers, Rural-Urban, New Urbanism, Metropolis of Urmia |
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Full-Text [PDF 1700 kb]
(58 Downloads)
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Type of Study: Applicable |
Subject:
معماری
Received: 2025/02/2 | Accepted: 2025/03/5 | Published: 2025/09/22
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